How we judge a wallet.
We don't rate wallets on how much money they made. We rate them on whether their picks did better than doing nothing clever at all.
A pick, and the 30-day rule
Every time a wallet we watch buys a coin, adds to one, trims one or sells one, that's a pick. We wait 30 days, then look at what the coin did.
A pick only counts once those 30 days have passed. That's why a new wallet shows few checked picks at first, and why the list fills in slowly. We'd rather be slow than guess.
Compared with just holding SOL or ETH
When the whole market rises, almost everything goes up, and anyone can look clever. So we compare each pick with just holding the main coin of its network over the same 30 days: SOL for Solana and Robinhood Chain wallets, ETH for Ethereum and Base wallets.
A wallet that made 14% while SOL made 18% did worse than doing nothing, and we count it that way. A sell that dodged a fall counts in the wallet's favor.
The four labels
Enough checked picks that the record is clearly better than just holding the main coin, even allowing for luck.
Looks good so far, but there aren't enough picks yet to be sure it isn't luck. Most wallets are here, and that is the honest answer this early.
Fewer than 5 checked picks. We show the wallet and its count, but we don't rank it.
Enough history, and it isn't better than just holding the main coin. Listed, never hidden.
Why we show the count every time
"Beat the market on 7 of its last 10 picks" means something. "70%" on its own doesn't: it could be 7 of 10 or 700 of 1,000. So every rate on Lootsignal comes with how many picks it's based on.
Picks close together in the same coin mostly move together, so we count them once when deciding between the labels. A wallet that bought the same coin 12 times in a week has really made one pick, not 12.
We look at the last 90 days, so an old hot streak fades out and the record stays current.
What this isn't
A label describes what a wallet already did. It doesn't promise what it will do next, and nothing here tells you what to buy. Bitcoin works differently again: a Bitcoin wallet never picks a coin, so it gets its own card with no label at all.